Federal race · 2026
Montana U.S. House, District 1, 2026
Primary: June 2, 2026 · General election: November 3, 2026
Money raised
- Samuel Kelley Forstag (D)$4.3M raised · $726K on hand
- Aaron Flint (R)$2.9M raised · $408K on hand
- Ryan Busse (D)$790K raised · $2K on hand
- Christi Jacobsen (R)$553K raised · $0 on hand
- Russell Tyler Cleveland (D)$458K raised · $0 on hand
- Albert Olszewski (R)$427K raised · $0 on hand
- Matthew Rains (D)$273K raised · $34K on hand
Raised Cash on hand · bars are blue for Democrats, red for Republicans, gray for others
Candidates
| Candidate | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Kelley Forstag (D) | General-election nominee | $4,312,110.49 | $3,585,984.69 | $726,125.80 | 2026-10-14 |
| Aaron Flint (R) | General-election nominee | $2,856,138.55 | $2,447,985.80 | $408,152.75 | 2026-10-14 |
| Ryan Busse (D) | Lost primary | $790,340.30 | $788,749.71 | $1,590.59 | 2026-09-30 |
| Christi Jacobsen (R) | Lost primary | $552,743.46 | $552,743.46 | $0.00 | 2026-09-30 |
| Russell Tyler Cleveland (D) | Lost primary | $457,635.36 | $445,912.84 | $0.04 | 2026-06-30 |
| Albert Olszewski (R) | Lost primary | $426,972.59 | $436,921.66 | $0.00 | 2026-06-30 |
| Matthew Rains (D) | Lost primary | $272,760.69 | $238,856.75 | $33,903.94 | 2026-09-30 |
1 registered candidate with no financial reports yet
- Ryan K Zinke (Republican) · Withdrawn
Totals from the FEC candidate summary file, retrieved October 23, 2026. A dated snapshot, not live reporting; each candidate’s FEC page is the official source.
Total spent on this race
$10,010,468.74 = candidates’ own spending $8,243,923.75 + outside spending $1,766,544.99
| Candidate | Outside spending for | Against | Electioneering and member messages |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Flint | $1,202,592.03 | $67,500.00 | $0.00 |
| Samuel Kelley Forstag | $410,634.62 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Ryan Busse | $70,875.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Christi Jacobsen | $14,943.34 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
Candidates’ own spending is their committees’ disbursements less transfers to other committees, contributions to others, loan repayments and refunds (FEC committee summary). Outside spending is independent expenditures, electioneering communications and company or union member communications for or against these candidates (FEC totals by candidate from regular reports, retrieved October 24, 2026; the latest 24- and 48-hour notices are not included yet). Party coordinated spending is not split by race and is not included. All the money
Polling and ratings
Race ratings
Recent polls
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Margin of error | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 12–14, 2026 | 541 (LV) | – | Aaron Flint 45% · Sam Forstag 48% |
| American Pulse | September 19–24, 2026 | 314 (LV) | Aaron Flint 46% · Sam Forstag 45% · Nick Sheedy 5% | |
| Impact Research (D) | September 20–23, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 3.4% | Aaron Flint 44% · Sam Forstag 47% · Nick Sheedy 2% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | September 9–10, 2026 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.2% | Aaron Flint 43% · Sam Forstag 45% |
| Rutgers University Eagleton Institute of Politics | August 27 – September 7, 2026 | 375 (RV) | ± 6.0% | Aaron Flint 42% · Sam Forstag 41% · Nick Sheedy 5% |
| Impact Research (D) | June 22–25, 2026 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Aaron Flint 44% · Sam Forstag 44% · Nick Sheedy 5% |
Ratings and polls as listed on Wikipedia: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana (retrieved October 22, 2026), licensed CC BY-SA 4.0. TerraCivic does not rate races or compute its own average.
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