Federal race · 2026

New York U.S. House, District 21 (special election), 2026

Primary: June 23, 2026 · General election: November 3, 2026

Candidates

No candidate in this race has filed a money report yet.

4 registered candidates with no financial reports yet
  • John Gunther (Democratic) · Registered with the FEC; has not yet raised or spent $5,000
  • Otto Dean Miller (Republican) · Registered with the FEC; has not yet raised or spent $5,000
  • Pamela Marshall (Democratic) · Registered with the FEC; has not yet raised or spent $5,000
  • Richard Grayson (Communist) · Withdrawn

Totals from the FEC candidate summary file, retrieved October 23, 2026. A dated snapshot, not live reporting; each candidate’s FEC page is the official source.

Polling and ratings

Race ratings

  • Decision Desk HQLikely ROctober 15, 2026
  • The Cook Political ReportLean ROctober 16, 2026
  • Inside ElectionsLean ROctober 15, 2026
  • Sabato's Crystal BallLean ROctober 20, 2026

Recent polls

PollsterDatesSampleMargin of errorResults
Public Policy Polling (D)October 12–13, 2026613 (LV)–AnthonyConstantino 46% · Blake Gendebien 44%
Siena UniversitySeptember 30 – October 6, 2026496 (LV)± 4.2%AnthonyConstantino 42% · Blake Gendebien 46%
Impact Research (D)September 29 – October 4, 2026500 (LV)± 4.4%AnthonyConstantino 48% · Blake Gendebien 45%
Public Policy Polling (D)September 9–10, 2026557 (RV)± 4.2%AnthonyConstantino 48% · Blake Gendebien 43%
Impact Research (D)August 30 – September 2, 2026500 (LV)± 4.4%AnthonyConstantino 47% · Blake Gendebien 44%
J.L. PartnersAugust 15–17, 2026500 (LV)± 4.4%AnthonyConstantino 50% · Blake Gendebien 40%

Ratings and polls as listed on Wikipedia: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in New York (retrieved October 22, 2026), licensed CC BY-SA 4.0. TerraCivic does not rate races or compute its own average.

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