Federal candidate · 2025–2026 cycle

Luke Murphy

Party
Republican
Running for
U.S. House · Florida District 2
Filing address
Havana, FL (city and state on the FEC filing)
FEC filing name
MURPHY, LUKE
Next election
Primary August 18, 2026 · General November 3, 2026 (Wikipedia, checked October 22, 2026; confirm with your state election office)
Map of Florida with the 2026 district highlighted

Florida, District 2

RepublicanU.S. House · Florida District 2Open seatLost primary

FEC candidate ID H6FL02364 · Principal campaign committee: LUKE MURPHY FOR CONGRESS

Total raised$300,840.97
Total spent$293,521.88
Cash on hand$7,319.09
Debts owed by the campaign$0.00
Loans from the candidate$0.00

2025–2026 cycle totals through September 30, 2026, from the FEC’s candidate summary file. This is a dated snapshot, not live reporting; the FEC’s page for this candidate is the official source.

Where the money comes from

Individual contributions: $297,651.97Party committees: $3,000.00Other receipts (loans from others, refunds, interest): $189.00
  • Individual contributions$297,651.9799%
  • Party committees$3,000.001%
  • Other receipts (loans from others, refunds, interest)$189.000%

Individual money

  • Contributions of $200 or less (small-dollar, including unitemized)$13,345.324%
  • Contributions over $200$284,228.3196%
  • Itemized from inside Florida$264,474.7693%
  • Itemized from other states$20,793.877%

FEC-computed totals by contribution size and state, retrieved October 22, 2026. No individual contributor is named.

Raised and spent over time

$169K$0 APRIL QUARTERLY: raised $135,410.13APRIL QUARTERLY: spent $4,848.71JULY QUARTERLY: raised $87,452.70JULY QUARTERLY: spent $59,740.71PRE-PRIMARY: raised $57,546.73PRE-PRIMARY: spent $59,461.90OCTOBER QUARTERLY: raised $20,431.41OCTOBER QUARTERLY: spent $169,470.562026-032026-062026-072026-09

Raised per report Spent per report Cash on hand

Outside spending

  • Independent expenditures supporting Luke Murphy$189,250.00
  • Independent expenditures opposing Luke Murphy$0.00

FEC totals for the 2026 cycle, including groups that are not political committees, retrieved October 24, 2026.

Independent expenditures by committees that are not part of the campaign, as reported by those committees. This money is spent separately, not given to the candidate.

The race

Florida U.S. House, District 2, 2026 · 15 registered candidates

CandidateRaisedCash on handThrough
Luke Murphy (R)$300,840.97$7,319.092026-09-30
Keith Gross (R)$12,340,830.55$31,017.352026-09-30
Austin Rogers (R)$1,359,851.76$98,295.262026-10-14
Evan Power (R)$846,452.21$36,666.562026-09-30
Neal Patrick Dunn (R)$831,031.43$393,100.712026-09-30
Amanda Marie Green (D)$658,316.41$28,138.562026-10-14
Nicholas Zateslo (D)$488,080.53−$489.332026-09-30
Brice Barnes (D)$451,256.68$867.602026-09-30
Jim Norton (R)$422,186.26$0.002026-10-15
Huy-Yen Cam Bailey (D)$184,389.43$0.002026-10-14

Polling and ratings

Race ratings

  • Decision Desk HQLikely RJuly 14, 2026
  • The Cook Political ReportSolid RFebruary 6, 2025
  • Inside ElectionsSolid RMay 5, 2026
  • Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RApril 10, 2025
  • The EconomistLikely RMay 6, 2026

Recent polls

PollsterDatesSampleMargin of errorResults
Patriot Polling (R)July 22–26, 2026922 (V)± 3.0%Keith Gross 62% · Yen Bailey 35%
Patriot Polling (R)July 22–26, 2026922 (V)± 3.0%Keith Gross 60% · Brice Barnes 39%
Patriot Polling (R)July 22–26, 2026922 (V)± 3.0%Keith Gross 61% · Amanda Green 37%
Patriot Polling (R)July 22–26, 2026922 (V)± 3.0%Keith Gross 59% · Nic Zateslo 39%
MDW Communications (D)June 2026758 (V)–Evan Power 29% · Brice Barnes 30%

Ratings and polls as listed on Wikipedia: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida (retrieved October 22, 2026), licensed CC BY-SA 4.0. TerraCivic does not rate races or compute its own average.

Sources and updates

  • Money: FEC bulk data (candidate summary, committee master, committee-to-candidate contributions), retrieved October 23, 2026. FEC candidate page · Principal campaign committee: LUKE MURPHY FOR CONGRESS.
  • Polling, ratings and candidate status: Wikipedia, retrieved October 22, 2026 (CC BY-SA 4.0).
  • Status shown above comes from the race’s Wikipedia page.

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