Federal candidate · 2025–2026 cycle
Michele Tafoya
- Party
- Republican
- Running for
- U.S. Senate · Minnesota
- Filing address
- Plymouth, MN (city and state on the FEC filing)
- FEC filing name
- TAFOYA, MICHELE
- Next election
- General November 3, 2026 (Wikipedia, checked October 22, 2026; confirm with your state election office)
Minnesota
FEC candidate ID S6MN00556 · Principal campaign committee: TAFOYA FOR SENATE
2025–2026 cycle totals through October 14, 2026, from the FEC’s candidate summary file. This is a dated snapshot, not live reporting; the FEC’s page for this candidate is the official source.
Where the money comes from
- Individual contributions$11,087,328.3089%
- PACs and other committees$334,250.603%
- Party committees$62,000.000%
- Candidate’s own money (contributions and loans)$7,878.480%
- Transfers from joint fundraising and the candidate’s other committees$1,006,434.478%
- Other receipts (loans from others, refunds, interest)$3,893.740%
Self-funding: $7,878.48 (0% of money raised): $7,878.48 given and $0.00 lent by the candidate.
Individual money
- Contributions of $200 or less (small-dollar, including unitemized)$4,304,088.4366%
- Contributions over $200$2,196,623.0334%
- Itemized from inside Minnesota$1,510,000.2256%
- Itemized from other states$1,164,590.5444%
Top out-of-state sources of itemized individual money: Florida $205,526.34 · California $150,464.60 · Texas $127,177.28 · Washington $54,429.66 · Illinois $42,058.86. States with fewer than 10 contributions are not listed.
FEC-computed totals by contribution size and state, retrieved October 22, 2026. No individual contributor is named.
Raised and spent over time
Raised per report Spent per report Cash on hand
PAC and committee contributors
38 committees reported giving $301,250.00 to this candidate, as filed by the giving committees through October 18, 2026. Timing differs from the campaign’s own reports, so this list may not match the totals above.
- NRSCParty committee$62,000.00
- REPUBLICAN MAJORITY FUNDLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- SCHWAN'S COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE Company pageConnected PAC$10,000.00
- FREEDOM FUNDLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- DIRIGO PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- COMMON VALUES PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- LEADERSHIP AND ACCOUNTABILITY ARE NATIONAL KEYS PACConnected PAC$10,000.00
- TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- OORAH! POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEELeadership PAC$10,000.00
- BOOTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEELeadership PAC$10,000.00
- CONSERVATIVES HARVESTING SUCCESS PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- STEER PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- ALABAMA FIRST PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- AMERICAN EXCELLENCE PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- BEST AT BRINGING ENTREPRENEURIAL RESULTS NEVER IMAGINED OR ENVISIONED PACLeadership PAC$10,000.00
- JOBS OPPORTUNITY NOW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEELeadership PAC$10,000.00
- MAGGIE'S LISTPAC$5,250.00
- NATIONAL AUTOMOBILE DEALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE Company pageConnected PAC$5,000.00
- LOUISIANIANS FOR AMERICAN SECURITY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEConnected PAC$5,000.00
- KOCH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (KOCHPAC) Company pageConnected PAC$5,000.00
- POLARIS INDUSTRIES POLITICAL PARTICIPATION PROGRAM Company pageConnected PAC$5,000.00
- CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND Company pageConnected PAC$5,000.00
- DEVON ENERGY CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DEC PAC) Company pageConnected PAC$5,000.00
- ARKANSAS FOR LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ARKPAC)Leadership PAC$5,000.00
- WILD AND WONDERFUL PACLeadership PAC$5,000.00
Show all 38 committees
- DAKOTA PACLeadership PAC$5,000.00
- STRATEGY PACLeadership PAC$5,000.00
- JOBS, FREEDOM, AND SECURITY PACLeadership PAC$5,000.00
- COMMON SENSE FOR AMERICA PACLeadership PAC$5,000.00
- LET'S ALL KEEP ELECTING REPUBLICANS PACConnected PAC$5,000.00
- BUILDING UP DEMOCRACY'S DREAMLeadership PAC$5,000.00
- PENNSYLVANIA HONORLeadership PAC$5,000.00
- FIELD OF DREAMS PACConnected PAC$3,500.00
- SEVENTH CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT REPUBLICAN PARTY OF MINNESOTAParty committee$1,500.00
- THE HAWKEYE PACLeadership PAC$1,000.00
- AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AMERIPRISEPAC) Company pageConnected PAC$1,000.00
- RANGER PACHybrid PAC$1,000.00
- ENDEAVOR PACConnected PAC$1,000.00
Outside spending
- Independent expenditures supporting Michele Tafoya$19,684.32
- Independent expenditures opposing Michele Tafoya$444,287.13
FEC totals for the 2026 cycle, including groups that are not political committees, retrieved October 24, 2026.
Independent expenditures by committees that are not part of the campaign, as reported by those committees. This money is spent separately, not given to the candidate.
- SHEEPDOG PACOpposing$444,283.00
- MINNESOTA FORWARDSupporting$19,682.00
The race
Minnesota U.S. Senate, 2026 · 19 registered candidates
| Candidate | Raised | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Tafoya (R) | $12,501,785.59 | $2,819,386.89 | 2026-10-14 |
| Angie Craig (D) | $13,380,880.33 | $148,432.78 | 2026-09-30 |
| Margaret Flanagan (D) | $11,563,963.37 | $993,214.07 | 2026-10-14 |
| Adam Schwarze (R) | $1,502,705.07 | $7,717.05 | 2026-09-30 |
| Royce White (R) | $734,724.72 | $27,624.64 | 2026-09-30 |
| Melisa Lopez Franzen (D) | $299,376.29 | $0.00 | 2025-07-15 |
| Tom Weiler (R) | $220,903.63 | $87,904.06 | 2026-09-30 |
| David W Hann (R) | $133,465.26 | $0.00 | 2026-09-30 |
| Mark York (R) | $74,787.49 | $863.42 | 2026-09-30 |
| Tina Smith (D) | $48,878.44 | $118,870.17 | 2026-09-30 |
Polling and ratings
Race ratings
Recent polls
Polling average: Peggy Flanagan 46.4% · Michele Tafoya 43.1% (Flanagan +3.3%). Averages listed on Wikipedia from 270toWin, Decision Desk HQ, FiftyPlusOne, RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Margin of error | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 13–15, 2026 | 1,079 (LV) | ±2.9% | Peggy Flanagan 48% · Michele Tafoya 45% |
| KSTP/SurveyUSA | October 8–12, 2026 | 718 (LV) | ±4.2% | Peggy Flanagan 45% · Michele Tafoya 42% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | October 5–7, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ±3.5% | Peggy Flanagan 47% · Michele Tafoya 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 5–7, 2026 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Peggy Flanagan 48% · Michele Tafoya 45% |
| Morning Consult | October 2–7, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ±3.1% | Peggy Flanagan 45% · Michele Tafoya 41% |
| GQR (D) | October 1–4, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Peggy Flanagan 53% · Michele Tafoya 44% |
Ratings and polls as listed on Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota (retrieved October 22, 2026), licensed CC BY-SA 4.0. TerraCivic does not rate races or compute its own average.
Sources and updates
- Money: FEC bulk data (candidate summary, committee master, committee-to-candidate contributions), retrieved October 23, 2026. FEC candidate page · Principal campaign committee: TAFOYA FOR SENATE.
- Polling, ratings and candidate status: Wikipedia, retrieved October 22, 2026 (CC BY-SA 4.0).
- Status shown above comes from the race’s Wikipedia page.
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