Federal race · 2026
Minnesota U.S. Senate, 2026
General election: November 3, 2026
Money raised
- Angie Craig (D)$13M raised · $148K on hand
- Michele Tafoya (R)$13M raised · $2.8M on hand
- Margaret Flanagan (D)$12M raised · $993K on hand
- Adam Schwarze (R)$1.5M raised · $8K on hand
- Royce White (R)$735K raised · $28K on hand
- Melisa Lopez Franzen (D)$299K raised · $0 on hand
- Tom Weiler (R)$221K raised · $88K on hand
- David W Hann (R)$133K raised · $0 on hand
- Mark York (R)$75K raised · $863 on hand
- Tina Smith (D)$49K raised · $119K on hand
- Rebecca Whiting (L)$3K raised · $2K on hand
- Raymond David Petersen (R)$973 raised · $0 on hand
Raised Cash on hand · bars are blue for Democrats, red for Republicans, gray for others
Candidates
| Candidate | Status | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angie Craig (D) | Lost primary | $13,380,880.33 | $13,232,447.55 | $148,432.78 | 2026-09-30 |
| Michele Tafoya (R) | General-election nominee | $12,501,785.59 | $9,682,729.80 | $2,819,386.89 | 2026-10-14 |
| Margaret Flanagan (D) | General-election nominee | $11,563,963.37 | $10,570,749.30 | $993,214.07 | 2026-10-14 |
| Adam Schwarze (R) | Lost primary | $1,502,705.07 | $1,494,988.02 | $7,717.05 | 2026-09-30 |
| Royce White (R) | Lost primary | $734,724.72 | $846,208.76 | $27,624.64 | 2026-09-30 |
| Melisa Lopez Franzen (D) | Withdrawn | $299,376.29 | $299,376.29 | $0.00 | 2025-07-15 |
| Tom Weiler (R) | Lost primary | $220,903.63 | $134,760.25 | $87,904.06 | 2026-09-30 |
| David W Hann (R) | Withdrawn | $133,465.26 | $133,465.26 | $0.00 | 2026-09-30 |
| Mark York (R) | Did not qualify for the ballot | $74,787.49 | $73,924.07 | $863.42 | 2026-09-30 |
| Tina Smith (D) | Not running (declined to run) | $48,878.44 | $657,742.11 | $118,870.17 | 2026-09-30 |
| Rebecca Whiting (L) | Running | $3,466.00 | $1,721.96 | $1,744.04 | 2026-09-30 |
| Raymond David Petersen (R) | Withdrawn | $972.93 | $972.93 | $0.00 | 2026-05-10 |
| Mike Ruoho (R) | Did not qualify for the ballot | $0.00 | $550.00 | −$136.35 | 2025-03-31 |
6 registered candidates with no financial reports yet
- Alycia Gruenhagen (Republican) · Did not qualify for the ballot
- Billy Nord (Democratic-Farmer-Labor) · Lost primary
- Christopher Jarred Brooks (Republican) · Registered with the FEC; has not yet raised or spent $5,000
- Edward Harold Tambornino (Unaffiliated) · Registered with the FEC; has not yet raised or spent $5,000
- Gavin Solomon (Republican) · Registered with the FEC; has not yet raised or spent $5,000
- Marisa Simonetti (No party) · Running
Totals from the FEC candidate summary file, retrieved October 23, 2026. A dated snapshot, not live reporting; each candidate’s FEC page is the official source.
Total spent on this race
$53,767,260.17 = candidates’ own spending $34,144,363.10 + outside spending $19,622,897.07
| Candidate | Outside spending for | Against | Electioneering and member messages |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angie Craig | $9,193,646.65 | $2,032,635.28 | $0.00 |
| Margaret Flanagan | $272,091.92 | $7,427,759.55 | $0.00 |
| Michele Tafoya | $19,684.32 | $444,287.13 | $0.00 |
| Adam Schwarze | $232,792.22 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
Candidates’ own spending is their committees’ disbursements less transfers to other committees, contributions to others, loan repayments and refunds (FEC committee summary). Outside spending is independent expenditures, electioneering communications and company or union member communications for or against these candidates (FEC totals by candidate from regular reports, retrieved October 24, 2026; the latest 24- and 48-hour notices are not included yet). Party coordinated spending is not split by race and is not included. All the money
Polling and ratings
Race ratings
Recent polls
Polling average: Peggy Flanagan 46.4% · Michele Tafoya 43.1% (Flanagan +3.3%). Averages listed on Wikipedia from 270toWin, Decision Desk HQ, FiftyPlusOne, RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin.
| Pollster | Dates | Sample | Margin of error | Results |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R) | October 13–15, 2026 | 1,079 (LV) | ±2.9% | Peggy Flanagan 48% · Michele Tafoya 45% |
| KSTP/SurveyUSA | October 8–12, 2026 | 718 (LV) | ±4.2% | Peggy Flanagan 45% · Michele Tafoya 42% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | October 5–7, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ±3.5% | Peggy Flanagan 47% · Michele Tafoya 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 5–7, 2026 | 856 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Peggy Flanagan 48% · Michele Tafoya 45% |
| Morning Consult | October 2–7, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ±3.1% | Peggy Flanagan 45% · Michele Tafoya 41% |
| GQR (D) | October 1–4, 2026 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Peggy Flanagan 53% · Michele Tafoya 44% |
Ratings and polls as listed on Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota (retrieved October 22, 2026), licensed CC BY-SA 4.0. TerraCivic does not rate races or compute its own average.
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