TCTerraCivic

Federal candidate · 2025–2026 cycle

Warren Kenneth Paxton Jr.

Party
Republican
Running for
U.S. Senate · Texas
Filing address
Dallas, TX (city and state on the FEC filing)
FEC filing name
PAXTON, WARREN KENNETH JR.
Next election
General November 3, 2026 (Wikipedia, checked October 22, 2026; confirm with your state election office)
Map of Texas with the whole state highlighted

Texas

FEC page

RepublicanU.S. Senate · TexasChallengerGeneral-election nominee

FEC candidate ID S6TX00388 · Principal campaign committee: KEN PAXTON FOR SENATE

Total raised$19,497,809.76
Total spent$14,572,704.29
Cash on hand$4,925,105.47
Debts owed by the campaign$0.00
Loans from the candidate$0.00

2025–2026 cycle totals through September 30, 2026, from the FEC’s candidate summary file. This is a dated snapshot, not live reporting; the FEC’s page for this candidate is the official source.

Where the money comes from

Individual contributions: $19,010,028.69PACs and other committees: $373,150.00Party committees: $62,000.00Transfers from joint fundraising and the candidate’s other committees: $30,894.50Other receipts (loans from others, refunds, interest): $21,736.57
  • Individual contributions$19,010,028.6997%
  • PACs and other committees$373,150.002%
  • Party committees$62,000.000%
  • Transfers from joint fundraising and the candidate’s other committees$30,894.500%
  • Other receipts (loans from others, refunds, interest)$21,736.570%

Individual money

  • Contributions of $200 or less (small-dollar, including unitemized)$6,045,645.3542%
  • Contributions over $200$8,408,003.2958%
  • Itemized from inside Texas$7,582,468.8783%
  • Itemized from other states$1,564,631.0817%

Top out-of-state sources of itemized individual money: Florida $174,462.67 · California $135,492.45 · Utah $134,597.18 · Arizona $69,376.27 · Pennsylvania $67,965.65. States with fewer than 10 contributions are not listed.

FEC-computed totals by contribution size and state, retrieved October 22, 2026. No individual contributor is named.

Raised and spent over time

$10M$0 JULY QUARTERLY: raised $2,908,591.18JULY QUARTERLY: spent $391,139.77OCTOBER QUARTERLY: raised $1,296,259.30OCTOBER QUARTERLY: spent $630,933.27YEAR-END: raised $1,115,340.35YEAR-END: spent $632,670.64PRE-PRIMARY: raised $536,901.93PRE-PRIMARY: spent $271,072.29APRIL QUARTERLY: raised $1,150,858.08APRIL QUARTERLY: spent $2,935,598.36PRE-RUN-OFF: raised $592,561.10PRE-RUN-OFF: spent $396,147.12JULY QUARTERLY: raised $1,640,065.57JULY QUARTERLY: spent $2,227,721.59OCTOBER QUARTERLY: raised $10,249,117.38OCTOBER QUARTERLY: spent $7,079,306.382025-062025-122026-032026-06

Raised per report Spent per report Cash on hand

PAC and committee contributors

62 committees reported giving $359,032.00 to this candidate, as filed by the giving committees through October 18, 2026. Timing differs from the campaign’s own reports, so this list may not match the totals above.

Show all 62 committees

Outside spending

  • Independent expenditures supporting Warren Kenneth Paxton Jr.$1,427,091.90
  • Independent expenditures opposing Warren Kenneth Paxton Jr.$26,905,075.00

FEC totals for the 2026 cycle, including groups that are not political committees, retrieved October 24, 2026.

Independent expenditures by committees that are not part of the campaign, as reported by those committees. This money is spent separately, not given to the candidate.

The race

Texas U.S. Senate, 2026 · 39 registered candidates

CandidateRaisedCash on handThrough
Warren Kenneth Paxton Jr. (R)$19,497,809.76$4,925,105.472026-09-30
James Talarico (D)$128,772,835.42$14,594,231.852026-09-30
Jasmine Crockett (D)$11,096,965.96$0.002026-08-13
John Sen Cornyn (R)$8,608,609.91$496,092.372026-10-14
Colin Allred (D)$7,630,708.50$401.952026-09-30
Wesley Hunt (R)$2,154,467.93$4,410.922026-09-30
Terry Virts (D)$666,753.76$55,965.142026-09-30
Keith Allen (R)$156,626.79$0.002026-03-31
Theodore E. Brown Jr. (L)$14,257.28$1,288.352026-10-14
Daniel M Sims (L)$11,665.57$200.002026-05-19

Polling and ratings

Race ratings

Recent polls

Polling average: Ken Paxton 46.6% · James Talarico 48.9% (Talarico +2.3%). Averages listed on Wikipedia from 270toWin, Decision Desk HQ, FiftyPlusOne, RealClearPolitics, The Texas Tribune, Silver Bulletin.

PollsterDatesSampleMargin of errorResults
ActiVoteOctober 17–21, 2026400 (LV)±4.9%Ken Paxton 49% · James Talarico 51%
Emerson CollegeOctober 17–19, 20261,000 (LV)±3.0%Ken Paxton 48% · James Talarico 49% · Ted Brown 3%
46%48%1%Ken Paxton 5%
Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)October 15–19, 20261,398 (LV)±2.5%Ken Paxton 49% · James Talarico 49%
2,011 (RV)±2.0%46%52%Ted Brown 2%
CBS News/YouGovOctober 8–16, 20261,492 (LV)±3.5%Ken Paxton 49% · James Talarico 51%

Ratings and polls as listed on Wikipedia: 2026 United States Senate election in Texas (retrieved October 22, 2026), licensed CC BY-SA 4.0. TerraCivic does not rate races or compute its own average.

Sources and updates

  • Money: FEC bulk data (candidate summary, committee master, committee-to-candidate contributions), retrieved October 23, 2026. FEC candidate page · Principal campaign committee: KEN PAXTON FOR SENATE.
  • Polling, ratings and candidate status: Wikipedia, retrieved October 22, 2026 (CC BY-SA 4.0).
  • Status shown above comes from the race’s Wikipedia page.

TerraCivic shows public filings without scores, grades or judgments about any candidate.

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